Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 20.748411 23.535486 26.571893 30.127799 34.180956 38.660533 43.991799
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 16.448256 20.009943 24.178219 29.424827 35.864948 43.528314 53.363805
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 13.650497 17.684700 22.720611 29.487828 38.374565 49.689429 65.257707
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 11.634940 15.986585 21.757244 30.004767 41.550027 57.226560 80.280443
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 9.887599 14.356938 20.630496 30.134951 44.272226 64.683508 96.679739
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 8.767879 13.419818 20.314623 31.362093 48.785678 75.483604 120.021728
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 7.617073 12.249117 19.474507 31.680672 52.031125 85.031076 143.461140
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.448696 10.859507 18.076496 30.889311 53.398956 91.909405 164.069378
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.575680 9.809707 17.059739 30.556998 55.489873 100.404432 189.303741
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.070820 9.309572 16.896433 31.692054 60.403783 114.821934 228.532964
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.684634 8.959385 16.943648 33.228143 66.374081 132.377944 277.798220
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.206458 8.357853 16.426921 33.591878 70.136739 146.387456 323.044928
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.630439 7.486924 15.280351 32.557466 71.004384 155.006386 359.563138
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.139996 6.710426 14.200246 31.477001 71.599859 163.263429 397.556720
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.797485 6.191169 13.576264 31.291809 74.207832 176.689885 451.586425
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.540735 5.818080 13.210392 31.637474 78.169743 194.247024 520.856976
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.291490 5.420633 12.724305 31.612050 81.246877 210.379988 590.908185
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.143479 5.237828 12.711853 32.766674 87.626040 236.540862 696.405095
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.959683 4.936684 12.362175 32.991342 91.601058 257.222877 791.971980
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.742365 4.514701 11.638977 32.081523 92.249913 268.790044 863.119039
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.575363 4.196075 11.130297 31.669312 94.261835 284.858692 953.634764
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.490038 4.082923 11.152981 32.792226 101.155983 317.501987 1110.083349
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.426650 4.020093 11.304938 34.337596 109.753382 357.750081 1306.302029